Wednesday, August 7, 2024

Howard Hughes: PSH Considering a Take-Private Offer

Just a brief news post, I'll use the comment section to update my thoughts as this situation develops.  Last night, 8/6, Pershing Square (37.5% owner) updated their 13D in Howard Hughes (HHH) ($3.2B market cap) disclosing the following change:
“The Reporting Persons are and intend to continue evaluating the possibility of various potential alternatives with respect to their investment in the Issuer, including a possible transaction in which the Reporting Persons and/or one or more of their affiliates (either alone or together with one or more potential co-investors) may acquire all or substantially all of the shares of Common Stock in the Issuer not owned by them and their affiliates and in connection therewith take the Issuer private (a “take-private”). Jefferies LLC began advising the Reporting Persons on August 6, 2024 in connection with this evaluation. The Reporting Persons may discuss their evaluation and the potential alternatives, including a potential take-private, with one or more prospective co-investors, which discussions are expected to be conducted on a confidential basis. In the event the Reporting Persons explore such a potential transaction, there can be no guarantee that an agreement regarding such potential transaction can be reached and/or consummated.

I find the timing rather odd so soon after the spinoff of Seaport Entertainment (SEG), the spinoff was designed to remove some of the complexity and cash burning assets from Howard Hughes, return it to a pure play master planned community developer story.  In theory, HHH then might re-rate closer to its NAV of $100+.  If the plan all along was really to dump Seaport Entertainment, come in to scoop up HHH on the cheap, why is Pershing Square backstopping the SEG rights offering?  Just strange to spend $30 million in cash expense to spin SEG, backstop SEG, and then take HHH private so soon after.  Should have just bought it before the spin and save the legal bills.

Possibly this is the result of Ackman pulling the IPO of his closed end fund after selling a stake in his GP raising expectations for growth, he could need an investment vehicle or non-securities assets to redomicile Pershing Square Holdings Ltd to the United States and avoid being under the 1940 Act.

As for the potential price or structure, I'm prepared to be disappointed, NAV is likely well over $100 per share, but is unlikely to be realized in a transaction.  As a reminder for those newer to the company, back in 2019, Howard Hughes did run a full strategic process that failed to produce a buyer willing to pay the asking price.  Have things changed much since?  Brookfield (who notoriously don't pay fair value) was involved in the GGP restructuring and was an HHC shareholder for a while, but otherwise, Pershing Square might be the only buyer so I'm not getting my hopes up for a large premium.  The language in the 13D suggests a cash offer to go-private, that's preferable in mind than some convoluted structure where Howard Hughes shareholders trade discounted HHH shares for discounted PSHZF in some share-for-share merger.

Disclosure: I own shares of HHH and SEG